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5 factors affecting a funds return
So far many have written articles on how to invest in mutual funds. No
doubt that this trend will continue. With respect to the mutual fund
investments that we have made in the past, the expected results are not
forthcoming and at the end of the day there is great disappointment than joy on
seeing the actual returns. There are several reasons for the same. It’s the
result of our wrong beliefs or superficial decisions we have made without solid
reasons for those choice of investments. Once we know the mistake, we approach
a number of advisors for undoing that mistake and most of the time it is too
late or too costly. A better approach is to avoid errors before making a
mistake.
1. NAV vs Returns
The most unshakable belief most of us have is to invest when NAV is low or
at the beginning of NFO. We often think that we can choose funds for
investments based on NAV. We have told in the past several times that this is
not a good approach. We are reiterating again that this will not help our
investments in any way. For example: Invesco small cap fund was recently
launched and is a one-year old fund. SBI small cap is a decade old fund. New
investor now has two choices. One is to invest in these new products during NFO
when the NAV is at 10 or the other options is to invest in SBI small cap fund.
In these two approaches, you can see in the table how we have profited over the
past years investing in SBI small cap for which the NAV is higher.
The Invesco small cap fund is about a year old now. The other is SBI Small
cap fund which is 10 years old. If the new investor has invested in this SBI
small cap, his NAV moves from 49.33 to 53.46 giving a return of 8.26%, whereas
the other Invesco small cap moves from 10.07 to 10.53 giving a return of 4.58%.
It clearly shows lower base of NAV in Invesco is
not helping the fund or our investment to grow – Mutual Fund returns purely depends on the
composition of the folio and not based on NAV or NFO.
2. Scheme AUM vs Returns
Scheme Name
|
Launch Date
|
Amount Invested
|
Value as on 11-11-2019
|
Profit
|
CAGR Returns (%)
|
NAV on 11/11/18
|
NAV on 11/11/19
|
Invesco India Small Cap Fund
|
30-Oct-18
|
100,000
|
104,568
|
4,568
|
4.58
|
10.07
|
10.53
|
SBI Small Cap Fund
|
9-May-09
|
100,000
|
108,237
|
8,237
|
8.26
|
49.33
|
53.46
|
2. Scheme AUM vs Returns
Most often we think that it would be better if we invest in the largest schemes. This does not always turn out to be better. For example: when the AUM is very high, it becomes difficult for the fund manager to invest bigger amount. It is not easily possible to select good & better companies to invest in. Managing higher amounts has its own problems. Therefore, as the AUM increases, administrative difficulties to manage them also increases. The table below gives 1 year and 3 year returns of small cap funds along with their AUM. It is loud and clear that when AUM is small, the returns are more and when the AUM is high, returns are less. Following table gives small cap fund returns from different fund house with varied AUM.
3. Expense Ratio vs Returns
AMC /
Fund house
|
AUM in
Crores
|
1 Year
Return
|
3 Year
Return
|
Expense
Ratio
|
Axis
|
1200
|
22.9
|
13.08
|
2.38
|
SBI
|
2915
|
8.3
|
12.44
|
2.03
|
DSP
|
4905
|
-2.47
|
0.77
|
1.87
|
L
& T
|
6112
|
-7.64
|
8.08
|
1.79
|
Franklin
|
7031
|
-4.33
|
2.47
|
2.29
|
HDFC
|
9137
|
-7.94
|
9.32
|
2.01
|
3. Expense Ratio vs Returns
In recent times we have read more about mutual fund returns. The important
point we learnt was that when the cost increases, the profit is reduced. No
doubt that this is true. But these lessons are not helping us get good returns.
Is there a new problem? No, there is a caveat. Look at the above table. The expense ratio of axis small cap which is slightly
higher, is the most profitable in both 1 and 3 years. It is more profitable
than loss-making schemes. So, do we have to choose a lower cost lower return
fund or Is it ok to choose higher return funds with slightly higher costs? At
the end of the day – total return received by us after all the cost is
important. When this is higher, the cost does not matter. Hence do not see the
expense ratio alone. Always see returns along with expense ratio and decide
based on net return after all the cost.
4. Size of the fund house vs Returns
Will big fund houses give “bada” returns?
At present, public banks, private banks, corporates and foreign companies
are managing the funds. We are often choosing schemes with names that are
familiar to us or in companies that we think are the biggest corporations. Are
their funds really profitable? Answer is yes and no. Small AMC schemes have
also given good returns in the past. Check the table below, this table gives
large cap funds managed by various fund houses and their returns. No
Guarantee that big fund houses will give better returns.
Large cap funds 1, 3 and 5 year returns and their parent fund house’s total
AUM amount in crores is given
Fund
|
Rating
|
1-Year Return
|
3-Year Return
|
5-Year Return
|
Scheme AUM in Crores
|
AMC AUM in Crores
|
HDFC Top 100 Fund
|
* * *
|
8.53
|
11.09
|
7.6
|
18,507.00
|
376,597.57
|
ICICI Prudential Bluechip Fund
|
* * * *
|
9.25
|
11.64
|
8.93
|
24,132.00
|
348,068.36
|
SBI Bluechip Fund
|
* * * *
|
12.5
|
10.32
|
9.71
|
23,585.00
|
320,662.84
|
Aditya Birla Sun Life Focused Equity Fund
|
* * *
|
11.6
|
10.11
|
8.5
|
4,360.00
|
253,828.50
|
UTI Mastershare Fund - Regular Plan
|
* * *
|
10.21
|
10.93
|
7.8
|
6,174.00
|
154,229.01
|
Franklin India Bluechip Fund
|
*
|
4.45
|
6.93
|
6.41
|
6,669.00
|
124,025.02
|
Axis Bluechip Fund
|
* * * * *
|
22.58
|
17.86
|
10.79
|
8,749.00
|
105,526.17
|
IDFC Large Cap Fund - Regular Plan
|
* *
|
11.06
|
10.95
|
6.53
|
457.00
|
94,150.54
|
DSP Top 100 Equity Fund - Regular Plan
|
*
|
16.96
|
9.56
|
7.46
|
2,641.00
|
75,415.56
|
Mirae Asset Large Cap Fund -
Regular Plan
|
* * * * *
|
13.22
|
13.94
|
11.7
|
15,897.00
|
33,282.15
|
Invesco India Large Cap Fund
|
* * *
|
12.31
|
10.71
|
8.34
|
202.00
|
23,542.83
|
Edelweiss Large Cap Fund - Regular Plan
|
* * * *
|
13.62
|
13.05
|
9.09
|
172.00
|
11,763.71
|
5. Dividend Received vs Returns?
We think and believe strongly that the schemes that often distribute large
dividends give great returns. This is not the right approach and there is often
no extensive relationship between the dividend and performance of the scheme.
For example: A fund that gives regular dividends has an annual return of 8%.
Another fund that rarely gives dividends has an annual return of 9%. Then the
second one is a better plan. The first fund is not very suitable for
investments with respect to returns parameter. Currently there is no tax for
dividend received but it may change in the near future – more news is awaited
in this regard.
Finally
The Return of a fund is largely due to the manner
in which the fund is managed and its underlying assets i.e. the quality of the
assets it holds.
Various parameters or variables like NAV, NFO, scheme AUM, fund house size,
dividend distribution, etc. are influencing the returns in certain cases in a
limited way. We should understand the reality and ignore the myths and choose
funds for investment based on the fund’s underlying assets for better returns.
All the best!
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